How AI Forecasting Works
What the AI sees
Forecast runs use web search to find the latest publicly available reporting. The prompt is scoped to the interval between now and the game cutoff, so the model is forecasting from the present forward.
How AI Forecasting Works
What gets stored
Each run logs the probability estimate, timestamp, usage, service tier and the source metadata returned by the search tool. That makes later review and benchmarking possible.
How AI Forecasting Works
Why the number can move
The AI line is dynamic. It can shift when public information changes, when search surfaces stronger sources, or when the model updates its interpretation of the evidence.