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AI Resolved: YES

Will OpenAI publish downloadable 'open-weight' model parameters by 2026-07-06?

Resolved Jul 6, 2026

Will OpenAI publish downloadable 'open-weight' model parameters by 2026-07-06? is a AI prediction game on PredictNext. Current human prediction is Yes 50%. The latest AI prediction is Yes 99%. It resolved YES.

Final outcome

Resolved YES Mar 10, 2026 · 19:59 UTC

What this game is about

OpenAI has publicly said it plans open‑weight releases but has delayed timing and signaled safety reviews; whether it will publish model weights for direct download within the next ~4 months is unresolved and headline‑worthy.

How it resolved

Resolved YES. OpenAI has publicly released downloadable open-weight models (gpt-oss-120b and gpt-oss-20b). OpenAI's official open-models page links directly to downloads on Hugging Face, and the official introducing gpt-oss release states that the weights are freely available for download.

Player line
AI prediction AI above crowd
Latest 99% yes
Previous 99% yes
Updated 48d ago

Flat vs previous run

Outcome

This game resolved YES.